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Thursday, March 5, 2009

NBA Real Team Ratings

The NBA Real Team Ratings with about 6 weeks left in the regular season are here. There is a new, small adjustment included for the first time. Since there is a mild reverse correlation between pace and winning in the playoffs, there is from now on a "Pace Overweight Adjustment" included. Although the amount of this adjustment is small, it was enough in this case to move the Cleveland Cavaliers from a very small amount behind the Lakers to a very small amount ahead of them.

REAL TEAM RATINGS
Teams Rated According to Playoffs Potential
NBA: NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
AS OF MARCH 5, 2009

1 Cleveland Cavaliers 51.80
2 Los Angeles Lakers 49.80
3 Boston Celtics 49.10
4 Orlando Magic 35.10
5 Houston Rockets 22.70
6 San Antonio Spurs 16.20
7 Utah Jazz 12.40
8 Portland Trail Blazers 10.70
9 New Orleans Hornets 10.00
10 Denver Nuggets 5.20
11 Dallas Mavericks -6.90
12 Atlanta Hawks -9.10
13 Phoenix Suns -15.00
14 Miami Heat -15.10
15 Detroit Pistons -15.10
16 Philadelphia 76ers -19.60
17 Chicago Bulls -23.10
18 Milwaukee Bucks -24.00
19 Charlotte Bobcats -24.50
20 Indiana Pacers -26.80
21 New Jersey Nets -31.60
22 New York Knicks -35.30
23 Golden State Warriors -47.10
24 Toronto Raptors -53.00
25 Memphis Grizzlies -54.90
26 Washington Wizards -63.90
27 Oklahoma City Thunder -64.20
28 Minnesota Timberwolves -67.80
29 Los Angeles Clippers -74.20
30 Sacramento Kings -86.20

QUEST COMMENTS AND PROJECTIONS
Since obviously we are going to stand by the accuracy of these ratings, as far as Quest for the Ring is concerned, the Cleveland Cavaliers are very much for real in this year's Quest, and are not only a threat to the Celtics' getting the ring, but are also a threat to the Lakers getting it as well. Of course, whether the Cavaliers could actually win the Quest would depend largely on one single player: LeBron James.

Generally speaking, this year's Quest is way too close to call between the Celtics, the Lakers, and LeBron James (the Cavaliers). The Magic are a darkhorse possibility; they have in terms of probability roughly a 1.5% chance of winning the Quest. Their chances would have been roughly 2.5% had Jameer Nelson not been removed from their list of available players. At the beginning of the season, it was hoped that the Rockets and/or the Hornets would be competitive with the Lakers, but this was not to be.

It is next to impossible that any other team other than the Lakers, the Celtics, the Cavaliers, or the Magic will win it this year. For example, even the Spurs are simply not fully competitive with these teams this year.

The Nuggets are the NBA's most surprising team this year, but our system rates them lower than most other raters do, and our system shows that the Nuggets are probably not going to win a playoff series, unless they are able to take full advantage of another team's injury, such as Tracy McGrady's injury for the Rockets.

The Pistons are one of the NBA's most surprising teams on the downside this year. Nevertheless, unless they have to play the Celtics, the Cavaliers, or the Magic in round one, the Pistons still have a very decent potential to win a playoff series this spring, precisely because they have a lot of talent that has been mostly hiding out so far this year.

Given how much trouble the Magic have had with defeating the Pistons in head to head games in recent years, including this year, it is not yet out of the question that the Pistons can defeat the Magic in a playoff series. The Magic seem to be very disrupted by the way the Pistons play defense. But as the ratings show, you would have to say as of now that the Magic would be heavily favored over the Pistons if they play in the playoffs this year.

Quest is currently sticking with our Championship forecast of Lakers 4 Celtics 3, but quite honestly the thing is up for grabs between the Lakers and Celtics, and very possibly the Cavaliers as well.

INTERPRETATION OF RATINGS GUIDELINES: TO BE USED AFTER MARCH 1 OF EACH YEAR ONLY
Of all the popular American sports Leagues, the NBA is the one where the better team is most likely to avoid being upset in the playoffs. Therefore, the RTR system can be used to gain knowledge of which team is most likely to win playoff series.

However, due to statistical error, especially unavoidable error introduced by the counting of wins and losses among the best 16 teams, there has to be a 3-4 points difference between teams before you can start to have any confidence at all that one team will defeat another in the playoffs. Aside from statistical error, there are also unknown factors, especially what the injury situation will be for the teams.

Another factor that becomes a big one when two teams with very similar ratings are playing is home court advantage. Home court advantage is estimated to be worth between 5 and 7.5 points.

Interpretation of ratings is not very useful before March 1, due to the need for a fairly high percentage of the season to be over before the projections are statistically meaningful, and due to the fact that the ratings are not relative to time, but rather expand with time.

In the numeric interpretaton guide that follows, the word "roughly" is repeatedly used in front of the probability numbers, as a reminder about statistical error, and to emphasize that unknown factors, especially injuries, will in some cases result in substantially different actual probabilities.

The probability percentages are based on the historical results in the NBA:

DIFFERENCE IN RATINGS IS BETWEEN 0 AND 3.9
The series is a toss-up, when statistical error is considered. There is a strong possibility of a 7 game series. The higher team has roughly a 64% probability of winning the series if it also has home court advantage. But if the slightly higher team does not have home court advantage, then the lower team has a roughly 60% probability of winning the series. These probabilities are too low for anyone to have any confidence in using this system to say who will win.

DIFFERENCE IN RATINGS IS BETWEEN 4.0 AND 7.9
The series can easily go either way, although the higher team has a slight edge, and roughly a 72% probability of winning if it also has home court advantage. If however the higher team does not have home court advantage, then the probability that the higher team will wins drops to roughly 54%, a probability so small that the series is essentially a toss-up. In the latter case, there is a strong possibility of a 7 game series.

DIFFERENCE IN RATINGS IS BETWEEN 8.0 AND 11.9
The series can go either way, but the higher team has a clear edge. The higher team has a roughly 78% chance of winning the series if it has home court advantage, and roughly a 65% chance of winning the series if it does not have the home court advantage.

DIFFERENCE IN RATINGS IS BETWEEN 12.0 AND 15.9
The higher team has roughly a 90% probability of winning the series if it also has the home court advantage, and roughly an 80% chance of winning the series if it does not have the home court advantage.

DIFFERENCE IN RATINGS IS BETWEEN 16.0 AND 19.9
The higher team has roughly a 96% probability of winning the series if it also has the home court advantage, and roughly a 90% probability of winning the series if it does not have the home court advantage.

DIFFERENCE IN RATINGS IS BETWEEN 20.0 AND 23.9
The higher team has roughly a 98% probability of winning the series if it also has the home court advantage. It is basically impossible that the higher team will not also have the home court advantage.

DIFFERENCE IN RATINGS IS BETWEEN 24.0 AND 27.9
The higher team has at least a 99% probability of winning the series. It is impossible that the higher team will not also have the home court advantage.

DIFFERENCE IN RATINGS IS 28.0 OR MORE
It is close to a 100% certainty that the higher team will win the series. It is impossible that the higher team will not also have the home court


For complete details about how and why Real Player Ratings and Sub Ratings work, and for very detailed information about how Real Team Ratings were developed and are calculated, please consult the USER GUIDE



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Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Carmelo "Che Guevara" Anthony?

Carmelo Anthony refuses to come out of the March 1, 2009 Nuggets at Pacers game. Has Carmelo Anthony suddenly become a revolutionary? Will he help us get an economy back? It’s very doubtful. This was a very interesting event, but nothing all that surprising if you know the background.

Carmelo Anthony, apparently realizing he is in a George Karl box as described extensively in the Quest report titled "Carmelo Anthony is now Downsized Thanks to George Karl", and getting very tired of and frustrated with that box, decides to become a little bit of a rebel.

During the first three quarters, it’s Melo in the box as usual: he gets fewer shots than he used to get, and he makes a lower percentage of them. It’s business as usual at the George Karl Center for Downsized but Well Rounded Basketball Stars. Then late in the 3rd, he makes two jump shots. He helps the Nuggets take a small but important lead.

He flashes back to the past, which nowadays seems kind of magical. He flashes back to high school games in Towson, Maryland and in Virginia for Oak Hill Academy. He flashes back to college games for Syracuse University and to games in his early Denver years. He flashes back to times when, for all practical purposes, he won games for his team, and to quarters when he could not miss a shot. He flashes back to Coach Jim Boeheim, who was a positive Coach, one who usually focuses on good things. Positive is good, it might even win you a NCAA College basketball Championship. Coaching that often focuses on negative things, such as criticism of styles and personalities, leads to a lot of first round exits in the NBA playoffs.

Those were the good old days. The days before Denver could not win a playoff series for half a decade, the days before George Karl became everyone’s parole officer, the days before the economy went to hell in a hand basket. He wants those times again, he wants those wins again, he wants out of the box. So suddenly, Melo changes his “I will do whatever Mr. Karl tells me and just be a good little kid with a good personality, while I make millions” policy. With a minute and change left in the 3rd, he refuses to come out of the game.

He refuses to come out for: Linas Kleiza! Yes, Linas Kleiza! Kleiza is in a Karl box of his own, is defensively porous, and is offensively inconsistent. The Nuggets are winning by 6 points, and a player such as Linas Kleiza is one of the worst players to insert into a game you are winning by a small margin, but have not yet closed down. Especially since, in case no one has noticed, Kleiza’s relatively inept defending has stood out like a sore thumb on this year’s Nuggets, who have been swarming like locusts on defense. It’s a good thing for him that his personality is solid, or else Kleiza would not be playing at all by now. Not to mention that Kleiza, who was denied a contract extension going in to this season, is almost certain to be going to another team this summer..

A full scale Melo rebellion would be very dangerous to the Nuggets, because they already have one black sheep on their squad, J.R. Smith, and they most likely consider one black sheep to be enough. I, on the other hand, recently pointed out that normal, quality basketball franchises make sure they don’t have any black sheep on their teams at all. On big time teams, a player such as J.R. Smith is either converted into being a normal sheep or, if he actually really and truly is a bad sheep, is sent packing to another team.

But I need to get back to the Carmelo Anthony has a flashback and momentarily becomes a rebel story.

So where were we? Oh yes, he decides to refuse to come out of the game late in the 3rd quarter,

Unfortunately, what Melo forgot, or doesn’t know in the first place, is that as a major basketball star, he could have largely ignored George Karl when Karl told him to rebound and pass more, and to not worry so much about scoring. Instead of that, he could have tried to bring the good old days into the present and the future. Make some minor adjustments, but don’t throw the baby out with the bathwater.

Why would you not want the good old days to come into the future? It’s not as if the Nuggets are stuck on the LOST island, unable to control what time they are living in. Or actually, maybe that is their problem, metaphorically speaking of course.

Had he remained a “power scorer,” Carmelo could have escaped any punishment as long as he remained secretive (or on the down low, to the hip hop crowd) and respectful about not complying. But having decided to obey like a little kid, he now decides to stick up for himself as a man, and to stick up for the good old days, by refusing to come out of a game.

Wrong move! Or maybe, right move, but wrong time; you might get away with it in the playoffs if you are Carmelo Anthony. But in Mr. Karl’s precious regular season, refusing to come out of a game is a major violation of the ethics, morality, and honor of basketball. Plus, refusing to come out is expressly forbidden by the George Karl Style Manual. The Personality Judge, George Karl, is definitely going to throw the book at you for that, and then Colorado fans will be twittering about how bad your personality appears to be.

So Melo is suspended for the Pistons game, loses a game’s pay (and don’t think that owner Stan Kroenke won’t be happy about that in this economy) and gets treated like a little kid all the more after getting very tired with being treated like a little kid.

Naturally, the Nuggets lost the Pacers game. And for good measure they lost the game that Melo was suspended for, the Pistons game. This story would not have been as much fun had the Nuggets won either. More importantly, some of my points might be wrong had the Nuggets won. In the Pacers loss, Melo played 8 of 12 minutes in the fourth, still in the box of course. You can not quickly break out of a basketball box you have allowed yourself to go into and that you have been in awhile. Also contributing to that Nuggets’ loss was that Karl had to make sure that obscure players with sparse crunch time track records, such as Linas Kleiza and Chris Andersen, played almost the whole 4th quarter. And perennial Karl favorite Anthony Carter had to be given plenty of crunch time burn also.

Try to think of this the way Mr. Karl does: Carmelo Anthony is just one of the bunch. He's too young to be "special." Who needs Carmelo Anthony as a power scorer in crunch time? What do you think this is, a full scale pro basketball franchise?

Carmelo, how can you be so naïve? I wonder all the time, is Carmelo Anthony really as naïve as he sometimes seems to be, or does he actually fake it for ulterior motives? If it were me refusing to come out, I would have a sneaky ulterior motive up my sleeve. With Melo, I don't know for sure, but I doubt he had any ulterior motive.

Anthony needs to think long and hard before he makes any major changes in the way he plays basketball that are requested or demanded by George Karl. Karl apparently thinks that the NCAA is child's play, so he doesn't respect Anthony's NCAA Championship the way many other coaches do. Has he ever said one word about trying to transfer what Anthony did in the NCAA to the NBA? Not one that I know of. Karl is an establishment type coach, and all such coaches look at the NCAA as being just about meaningless compared with the glorious, mighty NBA.

But the NCAA does matter, and Anthony winning it was truly a great and notable accomplishment.

Many statements Karl has made over the years about Anthony not being a complete player, and about how he has to be changed, or reformed, show that he does not think that Anthony is all that great and that he doubts that Anthony will ever be all that great. He has repeatedly spoken about how Anthony is not a "well rounded player".

Moreover, Karl wanted to trade Carmelo Anthony in the early summer 2008 time period, when teams such as the Nets and the Pistons came calling. Were Karl in charge of trades, Anthony would not even be playing for Karl and the Nuggets right now!

Executives with other teams say Denver's management group is divided over Anthony's place with the team. They say Karl wants to trade him, but that general manager Mark Warkentien and club advisor Bret Bearup are against the move.


Source Here

Carmelo Anthony: your instructions are to stop making changes for a Coach who has a lower opinion of you than many other coaches do, and who would trade you if he had the power. Reverse the changes you have made to the extent possible.

The bottom line is that Karl is creating a self fulfulling prophesy with respect to Carmelo Anthony: he is having him make changes under the false premises that Anthony is not qualified to be a power scorer, and is never going to be great unless big changes are made, and probably will never be great even if big changes are made. But the truth is essentially the reverse: if Anthony makes the changes, which he has been doing, it will no longer be possible for him to be considered a great player.

When all is said and done this is not at all complicated: the only way Carmelo Anthony will ever be considered an historically great player is if he is a power scorer. This is what he most wants to do and what he has been capable of doing in the past.

Seriously Carmelo Anthony, you need to start acting like many successful (and relatively unsuccessful but rebel) men do, which means you ignore instructions from on high that you are sure are bad. Stop passing and rebounding so much and start making more moves that will get you the ball more. And start taking and making more jumpers, layups, and dunks. Nene and Chauncey are fine players, but Nene is basically a playoff rookie, and Chauncey can not run the offense and be a power scorer at the same time.

To be crystal clear, without Carmelo Anthony as a power scorer in the playoffs, the Nuggets are most likely going to lose their series, even if they have home court advantage, which, however, seems increasingly unlikely.

Oh well, for every Carmelo Anthony in this World there is an Anthony McDyess, someone for whom being treated like a little kid is out of the question. McDyess wanted no part of Denver and it’s obsessions with personalities, styles, and treating players like they are little kids. He refused to play for the Nuggets after he was traded along with Chauncey Billups for Allen Iverson this season.

Recently, John Hollinger at ESPN claimed that McDyess must be upset that he refused to play for the Denver Nuggets, seeing how the Nuggets have been so wonderful and how the Pistons have stunk. Oh ye of little faith.

Mr. Hollinger had better check himself on that particular claim. Anthony McDyess, who has been a major leader for the Pistons this season, is no one’s fool. The Nuggets are skidding now, while the Pistons have just defeated the Magic, the Celtics, and the Nuggets themselves in the last three games. The Pistons sweep the Nuggets this season 2 games to none. The Pistons know very, very well that it is not over until the fat lady sings, and she doesn’t sing until May or even June for playoff teams.

The Pistons can all of a sudden taste emerging from the dozens of rotation experiments that made everyone’s head spin. The Pistons can now taste a late season surge and a sweet redemption. They can taste winning a playoff series while Chauncey Billups and the Nuggets lose yet another series. The Pistons have only begun to fight, while the Nuggets’ act is becoming very old very fast.

But what about Carmelo Anthony? Has he only begun to fight, or will he go back to being a nice little kid again?



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Sunday, March 1, 2009

NBA Real Player Ratings by Team

Here they are everyone, the Real Player Ratings for the NBA, presented by team. Go to here to see the ratings presented in one big list, for the NBA as a whole. For the first time, the ratings include an adjustment for defending actions that are not recorded by the League or by anyone else! This is, as they say, really big.

USER GUIDE NOTES THAT APPLY TO THIS PRESENTATION MODE
All players, including traded players, who have played 300 minutes or more for a team, are shown by the team played for. If a traded player has played for two teams 300 minutes or more, he is listed with both of those teams. To fully consider the current quality or strength of NBA teams, you need to include players recently acquired by trade. Such players may be listed only with their previous team, that is, the team they were traded from.

For complete details about how and why the Ratings work, see the User Guide:

USER GUIDE
For very detailed information about how Real Player Ratings were developed and are calculated, please consult the User Guide for Real Player Rating Reports for the NBA, for NBA Teams, and for Games

SCALE FOR REAL PLAYER RATINGS
Perfect Player? Is there Such a Thing? 1.000 and more
Historic Super Star 0.950 and more
Super Star 0.850 0.949
A Star Player; An Extremely Good Starter 0.775 0.849
An Outstanding Player; A Solid Starter 0.700 0.774
Major Role Player 0.650 0.699
Role Player 0.600 0.649
Minor Role Player 0.550 0.599
Very Minor Role Player 0.500 0.549
Poor Player at This Time 0.450 0.499
Very Poor Player at This Time 0.350 0.449
Extremely Poor Player at This Time / Disaster and less 0.349

REAL PLAYER RATINGS BY TEAM, ALPHABETICALLY
NBA: NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
FOR THE 2008-09 REGULAR SEASON
AS OF FEBRUARY 25 2009

Joe Johnson Atlanta 0.820
Josh Smith Atlanta 0.782
Mike Bibby Atlanta 0.764
Al Horford Atlanta 0.762
Zaza Pachulia Atlanta 0.721
Marvin Williams Atlanta 0.648
Ronald Murray Atlanta 0.637
Acie Law Atlanta 0.588
Solomon Jones Atlanta 0.460
Maurice Evans Atlanta 0.455

Kevin Garnett Boston 1.008
Rajon Rondo Boston 0.908
Paul Pierce Boston 0.765
Ray Allen Boston 0.748
Leon Powe Boston 0.686
Eddie House Boston 0.665
Kendrick Perkins Boston 0.590
Tony Allen Boston 0.555
Gabe Pruitt Boston 0.466
Glen Davis Boston 0.448
Brian Scalabrine Boston 0.307

Emeka Okafor Charlotte 0.798
Gerald Wallace Charlotte 0.765
Boris Diaw† Charlotte 0.691
Raymond Felton Charlotte 0.684
Jason Richardson† Charlotte 0.649
D.J. Augustin Charlotte 0.592
Raja Bell† Charlotte 0.544
Jared Dudley† Charlotte 0.500
Shannon Brown† Charlotte 0.465
Juwan Howard† Charlotte 0.420
Matt Carroll† Charlotte 0.381
Nazr Mohammed Charlotte 0.361
Adam Morrison† Charlotte 0.293

Kirk Hinrich Chicago 0.789
Joakim Noah Chicago 0.766
Drew Gooden Chicago 0.745
Derrick Rose Chicago 0.725
Ben Gordon Chicago 0.724
Luol Deng Chicago 0.716
Tyrus Thomas Chicago 0.710
Larry Hughes† Chicago 0.648
Andres Nocioni† Chicago 0.577
Thabo Sefolosha† Chicago 0.566
Aaron Gray Chicago 0.553

LeBron James Cleveland 1.305
Zydrunas Ilgauskas Cleveland 0.912
Mo Williams Cleveland 0.800
Delonte West Cleveland 0.738
Ben Wallace Cleveland 0.628
Anderson Varejao Cleveland 0.624
J.J. Hickson Cleveland 0.553
Wally Szczerbiak Cleveland 0.500
Sasha Pavlovic Cleveland 0.454
Daniel Gibson Cleveland 0.443

Dirk Nowitzki Dallas 0.974
Jason Kidd Dallas 0.923
Jason Terry Dallas 0.863
James Singleton Dallas 0.763
Jose Juan Barea Dallas 0.751
Erick Dampier Dallas 0.747
Josh Howard Dallas 0.733
Brandon Bass Dallas 0.682
Gerald Green Dallas 0.487
DeSagana Diop† Dallas 0.444
Antoine Wright Dallas 0.413
Devean George Dallas 0.320

Nene Hilario Denver 0.864
Carmelo Anthony Denver 0.860
Chauncey Billups† Denver 0.859
Chris Andersen Denver 0.755
J.R. Smith Denver 0.749
Kenyon Martin Denver 0.724
Renaldo Balkman Denver 0.716
Anthony Carter Denver 0.652
Linas Kleiza Denver 0.558
Dahntay Jones Denver 0.424

Allen Iverson† Detroit 0.744
Antonio McDyess Detroit 0.712
Rodney Stuckey Detroit 0.700
Rasheed Wallace Detroit 0.697
Amir Johnson Detroit 0.688
Tayshaun Prince Detroit 0.680
Richard Hamilton Detroit 0.638
Kwame Brown Detroit 0.580
Jason Maxiell Detroit 0.558
Arron Afflalo Detroit 0.321

Andris Biedrins Golden State 0.957
Brandan Wright Golden State 0.855
Ronny Turiaf Golden State 0.787
Stephen Jackson Golden State 0.765
Anthony Randolph Golden State 0.734
Corey Maggette Golden State 0.732
Anthony Morrow Golden State 0.710
Kelenna Azubuike Golden State 0.708
C.J. Watson Golden State 0.700
Jamal Crawford† Golden State 0.612
Marco Belinelli Golden State 0.574
Monta Ellis Golden State 0.557

Yao Ming Houston 1.008
Tracy McGrady Houston 0.793
Ron Artest Houston 0.765
Luis Scola Houston 0.716
Carl Landry Houston 0.695
Rafer Alston Houston 0.618
Aaron Brooks Houston 0.582
Von Wafer Houston 0.580
Shane Battier Houston 0.524
Brent Barry Houston 0.503
Luther Head Houston 0.446
Chuck Hayes Houston 0.429

Danny Granger Indiana 0.895
Troy Murphy Indiana 0.847
Rasho Nesterovic Indiana 0.841
T.J. Ford Indiana 0.832
Roy Hibbert Indiana 0.760
Marquis Daniels Indiana 0.725
Jeff Foster Indiana 0.723
Travis Diener Indiana 0.693
Mike Dunleavy Indiana 0.614
Jarrett Jack Indiana 0.571
Stephen Graham Indiana 0.484
Brandon Rush Indiana 0.408

Marcus Camby LA Clippers 1.008
Zach Randolph† LA Clippers 0.947
Baron Davis LA Clippers 0.772
Chris Kaman LA Clippers 0.746
Paul Davis LA Clippers 0.621
Eric Gordon LA Clippers 0.612
DeAndre Jordan LA Clippers 0.558
Al Thornton LA Clippers 0.541
Mardy Collins† LA Clippers 0.523
Steve Novak LA Clippers 0.520
Fred Jones LA Clippers 0.520
Brian Skinner LA Clippers 0.478
Jason Hart LA Clippers 0.459
Cuttino Mobley LA Clippers 0.444
Ricky Davis LA Clippers 0.358

Kobe Bryant LA Lakers 1.052
Andrew Bynum LA Lakers 0.931
Pau Gasol LA Lakers 0.929
Lamar Odom LA Lakers 0.825
Trevor Ariza LA Lakers 0.756
Jordan Farmar LA Lakers 0.650
Luke Walton LA Lakers 0.629
Derek Fisher LA Lakers 0.613
Sasha Vujacic LA Lakers 0.600
Vladimir Radmanovic† LA Lakers 0.531
Josh Powell LA Lakers 0.477

Hakim Warrick Memphis 0.688
Darko Milicic Memphis 0.680
Marc Gasol Memphis 0.645
Mike Conley Memphis 0.638
Kyle Lowry† Memphis 0.591
O.J. Mayo Memphis 0.579
Rudy Gay Memphis 0.564
Greg Buckner Memphis 0.481
Darrell Arthur Memphis 0.479
Quinton Ross Memphis 0.463

Dwyane Wade Miami 1.128
Shawn Marion† Miami 0.715
Michael Beasley Miami 0.679
Mario Chalmers Miami 0.615
Udonis Haslem Miami 0.605
Chris Quinn Miami 0.599
Jamaal Magloire Miami 0.522
Daequan Cook Miami 0.473
Yakhouba Diawara Miami 0.456
Joel Anthony Miami 0.434

Andrew Bogut Milwaukee 0.875
Charlie Villanueva Milwaukee 0.830
Ramon Sessions Milwaukee 0.781
Michael Redd Milwaukee 0.716
Luke Ridnour Milwaukee 0.710
Tyronn Lue† Milwaukee 0.665
Richard Jefferson Milwaukee 0.628
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute Milwaukee 0.600
Dan Gadzuric Milwaukee 0.527
Malik Allen Milwaukee 0.517
Charlie Bell Milwaukee 0.437
Joe Alexander Milwaukee 0.416
Francisco Elson Milwaukee 0.415

Al Jefferson Minnesota 1.017
Kevin Love Minnesota 0.735
Craig Smith Minnesota 0.646
Corey Brewer Minnesota 0.644
Randy Foye Minnesota 0.634
Mike Miller Minnesota 0.609
Sebastian Telfair Minnesota 0.571
Ryan Gomes Minnesota 0.530
Brian Cardinal Minnesota 0.529
Kevin Ollie Minnesota 0.486
Rodney Carney Minnesota 0.459
Rashad McCants† Minnesota 0.457

Devin Harris New Jersey 0.832
Vince Carter New Jersey 0.826
Brook Lopez New Jersey 0.730
Keyon Dooling New Jersey 0.669
Josh Boone New Jersey 0.654
Jarvis Hayes New Jersey 0.614
Yi Jianlian New Jersey 0.604
Ryan Anderson New Jersey 0.603
Eduardo Najera New Jersey 0.535
Bobby Simmons New Jersey 0.468
Trenton Hassell New Jersey 0.456

Chris Paul New Orleans 1.216
David West New Orleans 0.738
Devin Brown New Orleans 0.649
Antonio Daniels† New Orleans 0.580
Tyson Chandler New Orleans 0.567
James Posey New Orleans 0.543
Morris Peterson New Orleans 0.525
Peja Stojakovic New Orleans 0.513
Rasual Butler New Orleans 0.501
Sean Marks New Orleans 0.446
Hilton Armstrong New Orleans 0.409

Zach Randolph† New York 0.955
Nate Robinson New York 0.912
David Lee New York 0.844
Al Harrington† New York 0.729
Tim Thomas† New York 0.712
Jamal Crawford† New York 0.681
Chris Duhon New York 0.652
Wilson Chandler New York 0.579
Quentin Richardson New York 0.574
Jared Jeffries New York 0.449

Kevin Durant Oklahoma 0.821
Joe Smith Oklahoma 0.720
Russell Westbrook Oklahoma 0.684
Chris Wilcox† Oklahoma 0.632
Jeff Green Oklahoma 0.626
Nick Collison Oklahoma 0.589
Johan Petro† Oklahoma 0.561
Nenad Krstic Oklahoma 0.555
Earl Watson Oklahoma 0.506
Damien Wilkins Oklahoma 0.454
Kyle Weaver Oklahoma 0.427
Desmond Mason Oklahoma 0.397

Dwight Howard Orlando 1.031
Jameer Nelson Orlando 0.906
Rashard Lewis Orlando 0.723
Marcin Gortat Orlando 0.705
Hedo Turkoglu Orlando 0.673
Tony Battie Orlando 0.609
Anthony Johnson Orlando 0.546
Mickael Pietrus Orlando 0.504
Keith Bogans† Orlando 0.453
Courtney Lee Orlando 0.443
J.J. Redick Orlando 0.403

Andre Miller Philadelphia 0.895
Andre Iguodala Philadelphia 0.866
Marreese Speights Philadelphia 0.766
Elton Brand Philadelphia 0.749
Samuel Dalembert Philadelphia 0.673
Thaddeus Young Philadelphia 0.632
Lou Williams Philadelphia 0.611
Willie Green Philadelphia 0.585
Reggie Evans Philadelphia 0.447
Royal Ivey Philadelphia 0.349

Shaquille O'Neal Phoenix 0.900
Amare Stoudemire Phoenix 0.852
Steve Nash Phoenix 0.841
Leandro Barbosa Phoenix 0.802
Boris Diaw† Phoenix 0.727
Grant Hill Phoenix 0.705
Jason Richardson† Phoenix 0.666
Matt Barnes Phoenix 0.563
Louis Amundson Phoenix 0.521
Raja Bell† Phoenix 0.507
Goran Dragic Phoenix 0.474
Robin Lopez Phoenix 0.467

Brandon Roy Portland 0.907
LaMarcus Aldridge Portland 0.794
Joel Przybilla Portland 0.747
Rudy Fernandez Portland 0.730
Sergio Rodriguez Portland 0.722
Greg Oden Portland 0.681
Steve Blake Portland 0.664
Travis Outlaw Portland 0.604
Channing Frye Portland 0.537
Jerryd Bayless Portland 0.493
Nicolas Batum Portland 0.489

Brad Miller† Sacramento 0.758
John Salmons† Sacramento 0.683
Jason Thompson Sacramento 0.675
Kevin Martin Sacramento 0.657
Beno Udrih Sacramento 0.646
Bobby Jackson Sacramento 0.639
Francisco Garcia Sacramento 0.618
Spencer Hawes Sacramento 0.593
Shelden Williams Sacramento 0.589
Donte Greene Sacramento 0.529
Mikki Moore Sacramento 0.512
Bobby Brown† Sacramento 0.447

Tim Duncan San Antonio 1.093
Manu Ginobili San Antonio 0.923
Tony Parker San Antonio 0.866
Matt Bonner San Antonio 0.740
Kurt Thomas San Antonio 0.724
George Hill San Antonio 0.637
Roger Mason San Antonio 0.519
Michael Finley San Antonio 0.509
Ime Udoka San Antonio 0.507
Fabricio Oberto San Antonio 0.476
Bruce Bowen San Antonio 0.372

Chris Bosh Toronto 0.882
Jose Calderon Toronto 0.844
Kris Humphries Toronto 0.784
Jermaine O'Neal† Toronto 0.771
Jamario Moon† Toronto 0.730
Roko Ukic Toronto 0.621
Will Solomon† Toronto 0.601
Andrea Bargnani Toronto 0.562
Anthony Parker Toronto 0.562
Joey Graham Toronto 0.546
Jason Kapono Toronto 0.432

Carlos Boozer Utah 0.992
Andrei Kirilenko Utah 0.939
Paul Millsap Utah 0.912
Deron Williams Utah 0.902
Kosta Koufos Utah 0.803
Matt Harpring Utah 0.787
Mehmet Okur Utah 0.763
Brevin Knight Utah 0.719
Kyle Korver Utah 0.651
Ronnie Brewer Utah 0.637
Ronnie Price Utah 0.527
C.J. Miles Utah 0.498

Andray Blatche Washington 0.836
Antawn Jamison Washington 0.814
Caron Butler Washington 0.742
Nick Young Washington 0.710
Darius Songaila Washington 0.648
JaVale McGee Washington 0.634
Javaris Crittenton† Washington 0.616
Dominic McGuire Washington 0.533
Juan Dixon Washington 0.525
Mike James† Washington 0.485
Etan Thomas Washington 0.448
DeShawn Stevenson Washington 0.370

For complete details about how and why the Ratings work, see the User Guide:

USER GUIDE
For very detailed information about how Real Player Ratings were developed and are calculated, please consult the User Guide for Real Player Rating Reports for the NBA, for NBA Teams, and for Games



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